Oscar Sunday is almost upon us ladies and gentlemen! No narrative today… just Oscar predictions. I do a mini-pool every year where I weight all of the nominees:
Every Nominee gets a point value, 5 being the likely winner, 4, 3, 2, and 1 being the least likely. Whoever the winner is, you get those points. This year, for the best picture category, the points will be distributed 10 through 1… so it’s major category. And of course Make-Up and Visual Effects are only worth 3 through 1 point.
Read through my picks and you’ll get the idea. 127 points = a perfect score. If you are interested in playing next year, let me know.
Also look for the following notations as you browse my picks:
* = Movies I’ve seen
! = The Movie I think deserves to win the category. (Which isn’t always the one I think will win… there is a major difference… and it helps measure how well I know Oscar Votes and how in line my own taste is with the voters.)
Anyway, here we go, I will dedicate next week’s posts to Oscar coverage explaining my choices and commenting on the outcome.
Enjoy:
Actress in a supporting role
5 Mo'Nique in Precious*!
4 Vera Farmiga in Up in the Air*
3 Maggie Gyllenhaal in Crazy Heart
2 Penélope Cruz in Nine
1 Anna Kendrick in Up in the Air*
Actor in a supporting role
5 Christoph Waltz in Inglourious Basterds*!
4 Matt Damon in Invictus
3 Stanley Tucci in The Lovely Bones
2 Woody Harrelson in The Messenger
1 Christopher Plummer in The Last Station
Actress in a leading role
5 Sandra Bullock in The Blind Side*
4 Gabourey Sidibe in Precious*!
3 Carey Mulligan in An Education*
2 Meryl Streep in Julie & Julia *
1 Helen Mirren in The Last Station
Actor in a leading role
5 Jeff Bridges in Crazy Heart
4 Jeremy Renner in The Hurt Locker*!
3 Morgan Freeman in Invictus
2 Colin Firth in A Single Man
1 George Clooney in Up in the Air*
Animated feature film
5 Up (Pete Docter and Bob Peterson)*!
4 The Princess and the Frog (Ron Clements and John Musker)*
3 Coraline (Henry Selick)
2 Fantastic Mr Fox (Wes Anderson)
1 The Secret of Kells (Tomm Moore)
Foreign language film
5 The White Ribbon (Michael Haneke, Germany)
4 The Milk of Sorrow (Claudia Llosa, Peru)
3 Ajami (Scandar Copti and Yaron Shani, Israel)
2 A Prophet (Jacques Audiard, France)
1 The Secret of Her Eyes (Juan Jose Campanella, Argentina)
Directing
5 Avatar (James Cameron)*!
4 The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow)*
3 Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)*
2 Precious (Lee Daniels)*
1 Up in the Air (Jason Reitman)*
Writing (adapted screenplay)
5 Precious (Geoffrey Fletcher)*
4 District 9 (Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell)*
3 Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)*
2 An Education (Nick Hornby)*
1 In the Loop (Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci and Tony Roche)
Writing (original screenplay)
5 Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)*
4 Up (Pete Docter and Bob Petersen)*
3 The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)*
2 The Messenger (Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman)
1 A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Coen)*
Best picture
10 Avatar (James Cameron and Jon Landau, producers)*
9 The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow, Mark Boal, Nicolas Chartier and Greg Shapiro, producers)*!
8 Precious (Lee Daniels, Sarah Siegel-Magness and Gary Magness, producers)*
7 District 9 (Peter Jackson and Carolynne Cunningham, producers)*
6 An Education (Finola Dwyer and Amanda Posey, producers)*
5 Inglourious Basterds (Lawrence Bender, producer)*
4 Up (Jonas Rivera, producer)*
3 Up in the Air (Daniel Dubiecki, Ivan Reitman and Jason Reitman, producers)*
2 The Blind Side (Gil Netter, Andrew A Kosove and Broderick Johnson, producers)*
1 A Serious Man (Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, producers)*
Art direction
5 Avatar (art direction: Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; set decoration: Kim Sinclair)*
4 The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus (art direction: Dave Warren and Anastasia Masaro; set decoration: Caroline Smith)
3 Nine (art direction: John Myhre; set decoration: Gordon Sim)
2 Sherlock Holmes (art direction: Sarah Greenwood; set decoration: Katie Spencer)
1 The Young Victoria (art direction: Patrice Vermette; set decoration: Maggie Gray)
Cinematography
5 Avatar (Mauro Fiore)*
4 The Hurt Locker (Barry Ackroyd)*
3 Inglourious Basterds (Robert Richardson)*
2 The White Ribbon (Christian Berger)
1 Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (Bruno Delbonnel)*
Costume design
5 The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus (Monique Prudhomme)
4 Nine (Colleen Atwood)
3 The Young Victoria (Sandy Powell)
2 Bright Star (Janet Patterson)
1 Coco Before Chanel (Catherine Leterrier)
Documentary (feature)
5 The Most Dangerous Man in America: Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers (Judith Ehrlich and Rick Goldsmith)
4 Food, Inc (Robert Kenner and Elise Pearlstein)*!
3 The Cove (Louie Psihoyos and Fisher Stevens)
2 Burma VJ (Anders Østergaard and Lise Lense-Møller)
1 Which Way Home (Rebecca Cammisa)
Documentary (short subject)
5 The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant (Steven Bognar and Julia Reichert)
4 The Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner (Daniel Junge and Henry Ansbacher)
3 Music by Prudence (Roger Ross Williams and Elinor Burkett)
2 Rabbit à la Berlin (Bartek Konopka and Anna Wydra)
1 China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province (Jon Alpert and Matthew O'Neill)
Film editing
5 Avatar (Stephen Rivkin, John Refoua and James Cameron)*
4 District 9 (Julian Clarke)*
3 The Hurt Locker (Bob Murawski and Chris Innis)*
2 Inglourious Basterds (Sally Menke)*
1 Precious (Joe Klotz)*
Makeup
3 Star Trek (Barney Burman, Mindy Hall and Joel Harlow)*
2 Il Divo (Aldo Signoretti and Vittorio Sodano)
1 The Young Victoria (Jon Henry Gordon and Jenny Shircore)
Music (original score)
5 Up (Michael Giacchino)*
4 Avatar (James Horner)*
3 The Hurt Locker (Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders)*
2 Fantastic Mr Fox (Alexandre Desplat)
1 Sherlock Holmes (Hans Zimmer)
Music (original song)
5 Down in New Orleans, from The Princess and the Frog, by Randy Newman*
4 The Weary Kind, from Crazy Heart, by Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett
3 Almost There, from The Princess and the Frog, by Randy Newman*
2 Take It All, from Nine, by Maury Yeston
1 Loin de Paname, from Paris 36, by Reinhardt Wagner and Frank Thomas
Short film (animated)
5 French Roast (Fabrice O Joubert)
4 A Matter of Loaf and Death (Nick Park)
3 Logoramam (Nicolas Schmerkin)
2 The Lady and the Reaper (Javier Recio Gracia)
1 Granny O'Grimm's Sleeping Beauty (Nicky Phelan and Darragh O'Connell)
Short film (live action)
5 The New Tenants (Joachim Back and Tivi Magnusson)
4 Miracle Fish (Luke Doolan and Drew Bailey)
3 Instead of Abracadabra (Patrik Eklund and Mathias Fjellström)
2 Kavi (Gregg Helvey)
1 The Door (Juanita Wilson and James Flynn)
Sound editing
5 Avatar (Christopher Boyes and Gwendolyn Yates Whittle)*
4 The Hurt Locker (Paul NJ Ottosson)*
3 Inglourious Basterds (Wylie Stateman)*
2 Star Trek (Mark Stoeckinger and Alan Rankin)*
1 Up (Michael Silvers and Tom Myers)*
Sound mixing
5 Avatar (Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, Andy Nelson and Tony Johnson)*
4 Star Trek (Anna Behlmer, Andy Nelson and Peter J Devlin)*
3 The Hurt Locker (Paul NJ Ottosson and Ray Beckett)*
2 Inglourious Basterds (Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti and Mark Ulano)*
1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (Greg P Russell, Gary Summers and Geoffrey Patterson)*
Visual effects
3 Avatar (Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham and Andrew R Jones)*
2 District 9 (Dan Kaufman, Peter Muyzers, Robert Habros and Matt Aitken)*
1 Star Trek (Roger Guyett, Russell Earl, Paul Kavanagh and Burt Dalton)*